Friday, 24 February 2017

New website..                                          

Thursday, 23 February 2017


I feel Retrieve is the bet of the day. This deserves a decent bet.


Hot Lick 78
Everdina 77
Baileys Apprentice 74

Thursday Review.

Sedgefield there are quite a few short priced fancies on the ratings. I am disappointed Make Me a Fortune is a Non starter I was going to put a case forward for this one.
In the 16.30 I was rather mystified with the ride Ross Chapman gave this horse, this has rather skewed the ratings, this horse is clearly better, Ross thought he was riding Pegasus. The jockey got 10 day's make of that as you will. I would not be surprised if he won.

In the first race Baraboy is top rated, I would swerve that in all honesty I do not think it will win the race. He may trade well though at the odds. A safer option could be 2nd rated Stiloblue Native, there are easier races.

15.20 Pipe has had a torrid time here with his runners over the last couple of seasons, however digging deeper his horses have run well here. This really should win this race today.

15.55 Chakisto again is short priced I do not really want to back this or oppose it. I have not much interest in the race.

14.30 I discussed briefly a little this race above, the ratings point towards Kauto Riko however Bell Weir must figure if he ridden with an ounce of belief. Again I will be happy to watch the race.


This looks a better meeting to work with... Desert Queen blitzed them last time, the same tactics here will see her being really difficult to contain. She is worth a win bet today.

To go with her I like Crieve Hill. I am hopeful Glaring may need this and be just short of full fitness. This leaves us to beat Sir Anthony Browne. I will take that chance @ the odds.

Desert Queen
Crieve Hill    

Wednesday, 22 February 2017



Baraboy 116
Stiloblue Native 115
Dark n dangerous 110

On The Road 143
Whitsunday's 128
Coole Charmer 119

Mr Clarkson 149
Louis Vac Pouch 138
Crackdle 136

Chakisto 130
Bandol 109
Oak Vintage 102

Kauto Riko 134
Oliver's Gold 129
Tomkevi 113

Bannys Lad 112
Alchemix 111
King of Dark 109


Red Admiral 115
Overrawed 107
Arden Denis 103

Crievehill 151
Sir Anthony Browne 140
Glaring 132

L.T.The Man 136
Lady Longshot 133
Solstalla 130

Desert Queen 167
Actinpieces 166
Antarctica De Thaix 164

King Of Glory 138
Ballycoe 125
Eaton Rock 125

Boagruis 134
Classic Tune 122
Royal Village 120


Pearl Noir 77
Topsoil 75
Mighty Zip 71

Toy Theatre 86
Dust Bin 83
Moondust 81

Byres Road 116
Sands Chorus 112
London 107

Cappanity Con 102
Zamjar 100
Alkashaf 99

Red Alert 81
Alfonso 79
Basheer 76

Veena 100
Kashtan 97
Saved My Bacon 94

Mamoo 74
Percy Veerence 73
Jazri 66

Lingfield and Kempton..

Welsh Inlet 87
M.Muscari 84
Lucky Louie 80

Saint Honore 94
Tempuran 92
B Du Chatelet. 86

Shankara 88
Bishops Cannings 82
Utopian Dream 79

Havelock 77
Mitigate 74
Arctic Sea 73

D. Ends 74
MoneyorYlife 73
Maori Bob 59

Synotic 59
Outlaw Torn 47
SunshineNB. 46

Chandrayaan 79
Moohoob 71
Lutine Charlie 66

Balashaleh 67
Alabaster 64
Astrostorm 45

Included 94
Askari 81
Langlauf 81

Steelriver 116
Oriental R 106
Under Seige 102

Winterlube 123
Intense T 108
First M 107

Newtons Cross 76
Barncle 74
Night G 73

Tuesday, 21 February 2017

15.45 Doncaster Seventh Sky

Seventh Sky.

15.45 This looks very competitive. Saint Are will likely go off favourite here after his Becher chase run. I cannot quite understand why he is favourite really, he has not done much really. Everything really is hinged on a repeat bid to retain this race he won last year.
That moves us onto the next in the betting Ericht, a few days after Saint Are won this race, Ericht won a race @ Kempton. In my eyes the form does not amount to much, it is though winning form and thus must be respected.
Seventh Sky has some good form in the book this is a horse to beat here if he has a going day.He will handle this ground better than most here, if this runs to his ability here he will go extremely well.
This is a risky proposition with his profile, but he has the figures to run a good race.
Court By Surprise was actually my pick for this race until I spotted he is 0-11 on Good ground.This horse has one piece of form from November 2016. The horse hit 1.07 in running @ Sandown beating Saint Are in the process 4 and a half lengths.



Apasionado 141
Mister Whitaker 139
Charming Zen 123

Timoteo 151
Soldier in Action148
Diablo De Sivola 141

Some Kinda Lama 148
The Tailgater 144
Muthabir 143


Court by surprise 156
Ericht 151
Seventh Sky 151


Ridgeway Flyer 155
Bobo Mac 142
Royal Reserve 138

Wade Harper 139
Deadly Approach 138
Mercian King 137

W Money 151
Ambler Gambler 134
Better Days 133

Dino Velvet 145
Stamp Your Feet 137
ApplesandPierres 131

Calin Du Brizais 139
Theatrebar 138
Miss Tonabezi 136


Geneva Barracks 141
Knockamaole Boy 139
Agent Boru 135

Wee Small Hours  126
Rock On Barney 124
Rebel Ace 122

Miss Eyecatcher 139
Freeway Space 138
Just Janice 134

Perfect Man 141
Holdontoyourhat 137
Return to Vendor 133

Elegantly Bound for compensation.

Southwell looks a tricky card today. One horse that is worth a second glance is Elegantly Bound.
This horse has been desperately unlucky to have not shaken off his maiden tag on his last 2 runs at this course he has hit sub 1.1 on both runs. This is very close to making this horse a double winner with no penalties. On his last run in particular he did nothing wrong and kicked for home in the straight only to be caught by the eventual winner Kencumin, the pair were over 4 lengths clear of the 3rd placed horse.
The massive fly in the ointment from an investment point of view is Native Prospect.
We just do not know how this horse will perform here today. Only an insider will know if he will go on Fibresand. I am willing to think that if the selection runs to his level, he can crack this horse on fitness.

Elegantly Bound looks sure today to run his race he should be race fit and this is a win bet here.

15.30 Wetherby

Unzing has to beat the previous course winner here Lightening Rod, my rating's maybe over punish older horses, we will see and going forward I may have to re-evalute this deduction. I vey much respect L.R and I also really like Brian Hughes, he is a top class Jockey.
Unzing was sent off favourite @ Market Rasen on his last outing and run well, he certainly ran well enough to serve it up here. On the ratings he is the horse to beat and I will back this horse today for a win. I will also team him up with Elegantly Bound in an Each way double.

Monday, 20 February 2017



Too Many Shots 73
Bo Selecta 72
Log Off 70

Elegantly B 99
Finale 93
Native P 82

D. Dawn 104
Unnoticed 104
Custard T.D 100

Lady Nayef 116
Cross F. 113
Captain L 108

B. Pursuits 84
Wimboldsly 77
V.F Blade 76

My Rennais 80
R.Lad 80
Go on Gal 79



Cafe Au Lait 116
Bohenagore 115
Medal Of Freedom 113

Aces over Eights 123
Money Maid 122
Mollyanna 109

Unzing 147
Lightning Rod 141
Chestnit Ben 141

The Game is a Foot 123
Modulus 115
Buckontupence 113

Sharney Strike 135
Suzy Music 133
The Drinkymeister. 125


Viking Mistress 114
Gold Bonne Rain 110
Avithos 109

Drive on Locky 107
Master Burbidge 103
Lakeshore Drive 100

Cajun Fiddle 155
Verdna Blue 148

Towering 149
Heroes or Ghosts 148
Zastra 145

Tommy Silver 153
Bertomont 152
Top Tug 145

Sunday, 19 February 2017


Sweep Rock 30 // 6
Miss.M 30 // 5
F.Prince 27 // 4

This is the worst race I have seen for a while.  A race to absolutely avoid.

War at Sea  78 // 18
Bush House 68 // 14
Born to Reason 53 // 11

King Oswald 70 // 13
Athassel 64 // 17
Mary Le Bow 64 // 7

Dunquin has a master rating of 59 // 6    This could be a lay to back here.

Doc Sportello 117 // 31
Bowson Fred 117 // 26
Judicial 114 // 16

Pushkin M. 77 // 19
Berlois  77 // 16
Tadaawol 69 // 13

It Must Be Faith 86 // 23
Major Valentine 78 // 15
Spirit Of Wedza 78 //16

Hochfield 84 // 20
Jumping Jack 82 // 23
Killermont Street 76 // 18

New layout explained.

The new layout covers the master rating    110 // 18    Then 2nd figure is the back to lay or lay to back figure. The higher the better chance of running well and shortening in play.


Lingfield                  Back and lay Pts

Champagne Chaser 111 // 25
The Mumpher         106 // 9
Lac Sacre               106 // 20

The Mupher looks a lay to back, 9 is a poor figure.

Capilla        96 // 19
Clonusker   94 // 24
Tara Mac   90 // 12

Although Tara Mac looks poor on the points. Dalkadam looks even worse with just an 11 and is only rated 84. Look to see what prices are about tomorrow this may be a nice Lay to back.

Onderun 116 // 22
Amberjam 114 // 23
Kracatoa King  114 // 22

Groundunderrepair 120 // 20
Not Never 118 // 23
Mansion 116 //17

Dont Do Mondays 132 // 29
Big Fella Thanks    123 // 26
Take The Mick    114 // 18


Theatre Act 126 //31                                  
Hartside 126 // 24                                              
Lord Balim 120 // 26

Calivigny 132 // 25
The Cobbler 130 // 24
Kap Jazz 127 // 22

Minella Fiveo 127 // 31
Political Quiz 121 // 25
Thyne For Gold 118 // 25

Beg to Differ 149 // 34
Top wood 145 // 36
Blakemount 142 //32

Midnight Request 108 // 18
Grand Enterprise 104 // 20
Docktor Glas  100 // 16

Early fave Smoking Dixie looks like a decent lay to back, with just a 14. and a master rating of 94.

Live lay to back trial

Monderon 22
Doubledisdoubledat 17
The mythologist 22
M.Mustang 19

Doubledis looks a lay to back here..

Back to lay trial

15.40 Navan

Rightdown the middle 14pts   That is awful As I have 3 runners @  20+
Dounikos 24 @ the odds looks a decent chance to trade. Emma 21 Futuramic 21 3 runners on 19.

The bet here must be lay to back this favourite. If you are feeling bold you could try Dounikos

Trading Back to lay or just lay.

I am trying out new stuff here these are solely back to lay horses on the strength of the points.. or low points may indicate a lay opportunity. This again is work in progress and seeing what works and what does not work.

I will post up a few races, if it looks any good we may be able to get something going with this. I do feel any horse that is to be backed and then laid off for a profit needs a cutoff price otherwise Risk/Reward is just not viable. Long term if you continually pick short price horses to trade you will end up in the poor house for sure. Find out what minimum price you want or feel you can make money out of the horse.
Often a short price horse can be traded in and out and money made, this is not the case if you want to select multiple horses.  If you want to pair horses together or have multiple selections in a race to trade out you need to be looking for bigger price horses and decent reasons why they may/could trade at shorter odds in running.

Lets focus on 15.20 No other reason than its the next race..

Boutan 27
Midnight Silver 26
Chilli Romance 25
Westerbee 25
Grace Tara  21

At the prices Grace Tara looks a Lay to back.


If you fancy a value each way double, punt today Filatore 16.50 Ffos Las and Dounikos 15.40 Navan would fit the bill. This would be a nice return if lady luck is with you today.

A much safer double bet today that has a much better chance of landing.

Holly Bush Harry 15.30 Market Rasen & Pearl Swan in the 15.50 Ffos Las.

Over in Ireland where it is the best racing today I like Ball D'arc, I think this deserves a chance, he is upped in class. This will be the 2nd string to Identity Thief today.
Mentioning Identity Thief, nothing else but a clean jumping display here would do, he has looked dodgy, however a mark of his class is this, If this were a hurdle race he would be giving Ball D'arc well over a stone.
If he jumps cleanly today he will take a world of beating and likely win this race.

15.40 I fancy Dounikos as a Back to lay today. He looked a bit Soft last time, but maybe now less fancied he may just outrun his pricetag today.

16.10 Accapella and Haymount may give this fave plenty of problems here. I would not lay this fave, I also would not bet this at the odds.

16.40 A nasty race to get involved in. If I bet I would go absolute minimum on something at a price, I like Tabhachtach, although in all honesty this is a race to swerve.

Ffos Lass

Pearl Swan is a win bet for me. This won with minimum fuss last time out an will surely with a clean round be a player here. This in my eyes has a great chance today.

Saturday, 18 February 2017


Ffos Las

Aintree My Dream 136
West Torr   124
Going For Broke 120

Rock on Rocky 127
Dr Robin 122
Keep Moving 121

Boutan 119
Midnight Silver 116
Grace Tara 110

Pearl Swan 147
Little John 137
Horatio Hornblower 136

Try It Sometime 104
Asokastar 98
Filatore 95

Market Rasen

Mo Chailin 110
Martha McCandles109
Appletree Lane 101

Caius Marcius 136
Dream Berry 133
Castafiore 133

Holly Bush Henry 149
Speredek 140
Prairie Town 134

Make Me A Fortune 110
Fields Of Glory 109
Little Jimmy 108

Monderon 110
Dobledisdoubledat 103
Midnight Mustang 98


Ball Darc 158
Tully East 155
Ballyoisin 152

Sutton Place 163
Renetti 161
Dedigout 159

Dounikos 133
Nicole's Milan 129
Kikashen 128

Accapella Bourgeois 161
Haymount 157
Anibale Fly 154

Holeinthewallbar 120
Tabhachtach 119
Admiral Brian 117

Rating Value Bets

With these bets you will have losing runs, however the goal here would be to snag a good price value bet. Therefore the theory is over time we may be hopeful we show a profit. Or these could be traded in running to make a profit.

BOG odds or bigger on betfair.

A few from Ascot there are more of course on the ratings

O'Faolins Boy 10/1   Divine Spear 12/1 Royal Regatta 9/1 Theatre Goer 16/1

A few from Haydock

Final Choice 11/1  Vincente 10/1

A few from Wincanton

Spice Fair 11/1  Somerset Gem 9/1

Good luck today with all bets.

Let us hope all horses return safe and sound today. Enjoy the weekend. Thanks for reading.

Astre may be shining bright at Wincanton.

The horse that I am most keen on today is ASTRE DE LA COUR 15.55 Wincanton. I tipped this horse last run and he ran an absolute belter, he hit 1.1 in running and was run down by Baby King. Today the ground is not as punishing although it will still need to be got through. Maybe if the ground was not hock deep last time he may not have been caught. This for me is a really good win bet today.

Vincente 15.15 Haydock. I am unsure why I like this horse today. That hardly instils any kind of confidence, also Blaklion is one of my very favourite horses in training, he is not that big, but his heart is massive. I am sorry I just cannot give a valid reason why Vincente should be bet today, it is just that nagging gut feeling he will run a good race today, that obviously is no reason to bet Vincente. I personally will bet this horse today. Blaklion can save his very best for a good festival run.

Cue Card runs today and obviously we do not want to take this horse on. I want him to win, he is such a super horse. It is interesting when I rated these up that Royal Regatta came in joint rated I was a little shocked in truth, I think it must be my ratings do tend to penalise older horses, we just want all the horses returning safe and sound today.

Friday, 17 February 2017



Beyond Conceit 150
Top of The game 142

........................3 runners 147  (Aunty Lass. Tintern T. Criq Rock.)   Top 2 only......................13.50
Arpege D Alene 167
Label D O 156
Fletchers F 154

Chef D'Oeuvre 166
T Nivernais 164
O Faolains Boy 162

Divine Spear 152
M.O,Plenty 147
Orbo Ad Chao 143

Cue Card 174
Royal Regatta 174
Irish Cavalier 169

Desert Sensation 146
F.George 126
Theatre Goer 125


F.Climate 118
Castarnie 117
B.Narcissus 116

B.Court 156
T,F Prince 149
D.F.King 129

Yanworth 179
Sceaux Royal 173
Ch'Tibell 162

Midnight Sapphire 128
Persian Delight 123
Spice Fair 122

Gardefort 150
Pain Au Choc 143
Astre De Le Cour 142

Periquest 118
Rainbow Haze 115
Somerset Gem 113


Most Celebrated 131
Don Bersy 129
Final Choice 129

Agrapart 158
Aux Ptits Soins 156
Zarkander 155

Nordic Nymph 140
Mydor 136
Dads in Trouble 135
Big River 135

Goodtoknow 170
Black Lion 169
Vicente 168


No Hasslehoff 150
Theligny 147
R.T.B 142

Captain Redbeard 161
Wuff 158
Tanit River 155



Hidden Gem 72
Wink Oliver 64
Fossa 58


Fair play 99
Vonsne. R 93
Marshall Aid 82


Flying Hope 74
Zandradee 68
Not Now N. 61


Fear the Fury 87
Blaze of Glory 83
Killermont Street 78


Rowlestone Lass 88
Heartstone 70
Taurian 69




Zippy 76* Caution Turf Rating do not use.
Red All Star 65
Arlecchinos Rock 65
Guiding Star 64

Zippy cannot be eliminated or backed. For results he will, if he wins will be logged as a loss.


Purple Party 65
Mosman 62
Tennesee Watz 60
Manorov 60


Voyageofdiscovery 68
Free State 62
No Way Jack 60


Gentleman 104
Northern Surprise 96
Shepherds Purse 94


Song Of Love 111.
Udogo 96
Specific Gravity 94

Thursday, 16 February 2017




Centurius 132 Sft
Master Village 120 G/s
Cleni Wells 119 G/s


Dream Bolt 152 Sft
Icing On The Cake 151 G/s
Pougne Bobbi 149 Sft


Colins Sister 139 Sft
Kelka 133 G/s
Happy Diva 131 G/s
Theatre T 131 G/s


Rathlin Rose 136
Renard     136
Cody Wyoming 123


Percy Street 111 G/s
Early De Lemo 103 Sft
Gregarious 93 Hy


Pete The Feat 148 Sft
Cogry 135 Sft
Twenty Eight Guns 133 Sft


Trans Express 124 Sft
Wicked Willy  122 G/s
Justification 119 Yielding.



Great Link 106 G/s
Lake Chapala 97 Sft
Akula 88 Sft

Omessa Has 140 Sft
Mr Mix 138 Sft Hurdle Form
Price Of Steal 136 Soft


S. Magic 130 G/s
Chalco D L 126 G/s
The M Don 122 G/s


Vicangelome 143 Soft
Racktiman 133 G/s
AtailofIntrigue 125 G/s


Petite Power 136 G/s
Movie Legend 120 G/s
Popelys Gull 106 G/s Hurdle


Warden Hill 138 Gd
Vasco De Mee 124 Gd
Wild Bill 115 Sft



Spirit Of Hayton 84
Saxon Flames 80
Bowban 80


Sutter County 114
Merry Banter *TURF* CAUTION. Should not be used for AW. 109*
Dazacam 99
Marquee Club 87


Petite Jack 105
Mistiroc *TURF* CAUTION. Should not be used for AW. 101*
Sennockian Star 100
Euchen Glen *TURF* CAUTION. Should not be used for AW.  100*
John Reel. 94

Unfortunately we have Turf raiders and this skews the ratings. Turf winners will count as a loss on the results.
They are however very dangerous if they take to this surface. Please do not use the Turf rating it is unreliable.


Clondaw Banker NO RATING ??
Rasasee 76
Sugarloaf Mountain 70
Casablanca 66


High On Light 96
Mariee 89
Footlight 88


Byres Road 95
Worlds His Oyster91
Eastern Dragon 89


Fairway To Heaven 85
Bucaneers Vault 83
Fujin 79

Stats for 1st 3 in ratings

Early days and still refining the ratings however I can say from 39 selections, the top 3 in the ratings have hit a whopping 79.4% of the winners. This does not include the lovely winner we have just had that was clear top rated Duke Street. As from tomorrow I will only list the top 3 rated horses. This should snag the winner over 7 times in 10. After tonights results we are working @ over 80% now 8/10. I am sure this will level out, however I am very happy with these figures.



Silver Quay 90
Aldrath 87
Duke Street 95
Cotton Club 87


Outer Space 95
Evening Attire 92
Plucky Dip 90
Loyalty 89
Curzon Line 88


Mr Potter 63
Rosie Crow 65
Turaathy 53
Limerick Lord 52


Willygolassiego 53
Kay Sera 55
Oystercard 56

Wednesday, 15 February 2017

16.2.17 Splitsecond Ratings


All figures achieved on Heavy unless specified.


Lycidas 116          
Reivers Lad 110
Al Reesha 39. 123 Good.
Paper Roses 95 G/soft.

If Al Reesha goes through this ground this must be dangerous, but 39 in the ground looks suspect. Lycidas has the CD form and will go through this ground.

Taking Risks 139. 125 Hurdle.
Vicenzo Mio 136 Soft. Hurdle.
Spanish Fleet 133
Hawkhurst 122 Hurdle.

Taking Risks is no Value, but he is the one to beat.


Cyrus Darius 135 Soft.
Born Survivor 127
One for Harry 135
Knockara Beau 127

One for Harry may be a bit of value turning over the top 2 in the betting here.


Rowdy Rocher 111
Maxie T 118
Rhymers Stone 120
Forty Crown 113
Landecker 112
Top Billing 107

This looks very tight maybe Rhymers Stone could run a decent race



Edgar 108 G/s
Triple Chief 103 Soft
Brinestone 92
Barton Rose 100 Gd
Agreement 69
Elkstone 96

Edgar has the figures if he can run up to them and looks on paper the horse to beat.


Storming Strumpet 126 Gd
Texas Forever 101 Soft
Frankie Ballou 96 Soft
Crown Hill 113 G/s
Today Please 114 Gd Hurdle.
Hahnenkam  113 Gd

If Storming Strumpet can go through this ground this would look like a decent favourite here and certainly the one to beat.


Mad J M. 149
Mercian P. 135
Crosspark 140 Sft.
Always OTR 144 Gd
Dark F 144 Gd
Doomsday Book 134 Yielding
Morning Reggie 138 Sft

A decent race, looking forward to watching this. Mad Jack Mytton will take some beating here if he turns up to battle.


Un Prophete 139 G/s
Champagne AT 139 G/s
Winner M 140 Gd
Theatre Flame 132 Sft.


Song Saa   120 G/s
Money Maid 114 G/s
Timons Tara  127 Hy
Kentford M  109 Sft.

There is no proof Timon's Tara will go through a faster surface. This creates a doubt for me, otherwise this would look like chancing.



Auric Goldfinger 72
Sea Tea Dea 66
Seprani 59
Bay Watch 57
Moneyoryourlife 55

Auric Goldfinger looks a good favourite here 6 points in hand over Sea Tea Dea who looks to have a lot to do to beat the fave.


Porto Ferro 68
Cool Echo 34
Cloud Nine 37
Mistry 47

Jack Flash 76
Cappananty Con 76
Juan Horsepower 74
Arzaak 75


Good Time Ahead 62
Bazwind 69
Crital Thinking 62
Life Wont Wait 63

Bazwind looks like he may take some stopping here if he runs to the figures.


Watersmeet 110
Rock Steady 113
Calling Out 108
Cohesion 104


Spirit Of Zebedee 67
Tidals Baby 66
Disclosure 61
Encapsulated 69
Compton Prince 75
Rigoletto 70

Compton Prince looks interesting in a very difficult race to pick out the winner.


Zabeel Star 74
Zephyros 74
Exceeding Power 80
Al Kafji 78
Black Dave 83


Acheived on ground very similar unless stated.


Thisonetime 104
Crackdleloust 96
Derryname 103
Applaus 108                     Will take a chance on Applaus today at the odds. More a back to lay . Rather                                                                  than a win bet for me.


William M 103           Looks sure to run well. The deserves to be Favourite.
Chain of B 94 G/S
Dingo Bay 5
Anitopia 99                    At the current odds this could be value to outrun his price tag here.
Vincent Row 89


Baby Tickler 69                    This might be the lay of day. I could not have this one at all.
Floramoss 112
Beyondtemptation 110
Hopes Wishes 116
                                          The value here could be Hopes and Wishes. Only four runners avoid this fave.

Chakisto 98
The Pierre L 101        
Toola Boola 45
On a Promise 78
Captain Sharpe 97


Pistol Park 146          No value here, this must win today.
Clan Legend 120
Rathlin 134
Vangeur D G 139


Very similar Ground unless stated


Brandon Roc 103
Flobury 96
Benability 0


Act Now 107                 On the ratings this looks a poor favourite.
Two Swallows 113
What a Diva 113
Socksy 121                   { These 2 look on the ratings like they would be my picks against this field }
Tambura 121                { I would be looking to trade these in running and leave a little more on the win }


Krackatoa King 125
Yanmare 119
Buttercup 119
Flashjack 126
Have a go Hero 114

Flashjack must be talented but looks a right monkey. He was beaten @ 1/5 when he ran in a hurdle race last year in April. The facet that Henry Daly has pursued with this horse can only be a positive, the two with the big weights here look to be where to concentrate. I would be quite happy to take a chance on Flashjack @ decent odds to put in a decent show.


Cadeyrn  115
Astrapaios 100
Storm Nelson 99

Not much to go on here, but enough to think that a small win bet on Cadeyrn looks ok.

Wolverhampton.     Just for you Andy. Actually a good excuse to see if they work or not?


Scrafton 72
Cape Spirit 60
Chestnut Storm 58
Ting in the Tale 59


Time of Anatefka 64
Jack the Laird 62
Topsoil 66
See Vermont 56
Frank the Barber 58


Fabulous F 50
Storm Trooper 60
Roaring R 62
Mr Michael 39
David's Beauty 61


Mythical Madness 115
Andastra  {No All Weather Rating Turf? 91. Use with caution}
Third Time Lucky 103
Bancuanah 86
Lanceur 97


Malaysian B 82
Dodgy Bob 72
Mime Dance 71
Top Offer 67
Call Out Loud 77 { Rating Achieved @ Southwell Surface. Caution}
Light From  84


Calvinist     (Turf Caution 107)
Isharah 92
Byron Flyer 77
Oceane  (Caution Turf 105)
Gang Warfare 108
Haines 94
Percy Veer 88.


Sea Dweller 75
Alhajjaj 49
Incredible Dream 42
Golden Muscade 61

Tuesday, 14 February 2017



spinwheel 70.61.69
palenville 73.67.72
bell heather 57.64.50


Newcastle 14.40
Polar Forest
Thello 61.61.56


14.20 Ayr Ratings

Mcginty's Dream 99.72.56
Late Date 15.98.81

Monday, 13 February 2017

14.2.17 Ratings Update


I am rating up a few races and see how we go with this format.


Hurdles ratings only.

Brown Bear 100 0 87 76 81 86
Chivers 89 80 0 94 94 99
Bound Hill  76 78 72 88 97
Day of Roses 96 59 52 38 38
Rafafie  95 93 0 88 118


Not the best race in the world to start rating up. If Brown Bears puts in the same effort then he must be in the firing line. Lets see what happens by lunchtime tomorrow with this betting we may have more clues.

Chase ratings only
The GeeGeez GeeGee  103 64 116 91
Midtech Valentine 113
Un Anjou 100 93 108 120 103 85
Tara Bridge 104 103 111
Only Gorgeous 110 87 119 59


MV did not run that well last time @ Doncaster, but she did record 113. Once she had jumped low at one fence then Balloned another she settled in her own pace and actually did not jump that badly. This here is easier. If we could just see a little improvement and she ran to around 118, she could really put a few of these to the wall, Un Anjou has 1 decent rating but since that effort has looked ordinary. We can assess this race again tomorrow like the earlier race, once the betting settles.

Not a race to bet in but we can see how the ratings do...

Casper King
Cash Again   113. 112
The Mighty Don 122.119


Chase ratings.
Special Catch
Mister Ruffit
Mountain King

I like Special Catch here, maybe he can carry on where he left off @ Sedgefield. If he does he will be hard to beat here.

Update.   Midtech Valentine is a little weak in the market, but this can be expected on the evidence of her last run. I will stick with this however playing in running should yield a better price. How bold do you want to be I think a 30% bigger price is realistic.

Special Catch is the horse I am most looking forward to watching today.

Rafafie, that race looks very open. We need a bit of luck with this one.

Sunday, 12 February 2017





It does appear foolish to abandon Royal Salute, however MOL has proved he van come off a break and run very well, also him giving weight to lesser oposition has worked in his favour previously. We need to watch the market any negative drift and dump this. If you are betting this go for the 20% bigger price in running this gives you much better options if you are trading out for a back to lay.




Donald McCains hunting ground he will be looking to mop this race up. This should be bread and butter for this horse. This can beat Big Penny. Jonjo's horses are just turning the corner now, Cheltenham is looming and he will want his string fired up and ready for the festival, he has had a poor season so far but sign's are looking much better so this is a worry here.

Cheltenham Book of bets. Portfolio.

We already have;

What I will add here is what I feel is a really good Antepost Cheltenham festival double.

Foxhunters   ON THE FRINGE

Cross Country  CANTLOW

Both horses are trained by Enda Bolger. The gamble here is both these horses are 12 years old.
These horses have been trained exclusively for these races.
Enda likes to win the Cross Country race. This is his race in his eyes.

We need to buck a trend in the Fox Hunters. This is age, however this horse has low mileage on the clock and this is his exclusive target.

To this I now want to add another horse that I feel is targeted towards the Neptune.

The Neptune Novices hurdle is a very tough race to try and predict the winner. I have set a few rules for filtering down through this field, just one of those simple rules is winning @ 20f or 21f.
I was keen on Death Duty but I fear this one will not run and the fact that he is 60s on betfair does not bode well.  The horse that will take the world of beating here is FINIANS OSCAR. If you want absolute peace of mind you could go Non Runner no bet and take 7/2. This is really tough this race but he fits the selection process like a tailor made suit.

Our Portfolio for Cheltenham 2017.

Fox Hunters   On the Fringe.

Cross Country Cantlow.

Neptune Novices Finians Oscar.

I will be looking to add more races and increase the portfolio.


Not much today. Only 1 bet today.



Hopefully this horse will complete his 3 timer at the course here today beating chief rival Fly camp.

He appears to have the numbers in his favour today and have a little in hand over Fly camp.

Saturday, 11 February 2017





I am hopeful this can turn the form around with William H Bonney.

He is 14/1 with one of the bookies Bog, I would be very hopeful st the very least you could get your stake out of this for a free bet. This does not look like this race was just a chuck him in race I feel this has been on his agenda. This is a very hard race so you need some kind of insurance or back with low stakes.



This horse has only looked average really over fences but that was against better oposition today I think we might see a bettter display.




When we look @ Bobble Boru she has had so much racing connections just seem to chuck her in everything. At least with PK we have a mare with CD form we need a leap of faith that she will perform better than last run.

Thursday, 9 February 2017





He is better than this field and he needs to prove it if he is going to line up @ Cheltenham in March.



If this turns up to fight then he will win this pulling a cart. I see no reason here why this should dominate these rivals.


8.30  Zorba the greek #win


Que Belle Vie   16.20      #Place


African beat 16.15 Lingfield   #win


16.05 Chelsea Flyer win


Brooks point 15.40   Win


Live. Did not exactly set the world on fire. It was not horrendous, I will continue trialling this as I feel there are some good days ahead with this. The trial will not lie. Maybe I am wrong.



Pithiver is poor value here. I would not lay the horse, it would be nice to find something with an angle to beat him. I may look nearer race time and see if we can get something, or find a good place bet.



I think this horse could be well handicapped, this is a nasty race a very hard race. I feel a reduced win bet bet, or a back to lay. Then play the place bet. This is not a race to be plunging in on for sure. Small stakes at fairly decent odds would be the order here.




At the current odds I am really happy to be looking for a win bet here that I will angle towards s free win bet in play by laying off my stake and playing the place bet. I will be relly disappointed if this horse cannot place at least here today.

Live later and let us see if we can make a profit today.

Wednesday, 8 February 2017


Lord Clenagcastle 19.20    win


Town Park   16.50   Win


Duck A Lorange ///  place   16.40


Monumental Man  Place//    16.05 Chelms

live update..

Amazing I have been testing this before I put it out and it has been good, obviously otherwise I would not bother.   Sod's law today its has been pretty rubbish. Still we will stick with it maybe it is just a rocky start.
Remember +20% on your price.

14.20 Loss  1/6 R/fc
14.40 loss timons
14.50 loss Which one is which
15/10 win Altepix Place.
15.20 loss Dick Darsi win/place
15.30 win Ashadian


Ashadian   Win... 15.30 Chelms


Dick Darsi  win and place    15.20


Altepix    Place win...       15.10


Which one is which  14.50 Win


Timons Tara   win...  14.40


14.30 C.   Never Folding..  #winner.      

Got very upset and withdrawn...


Reverse forecast    1/6      14.20  Carlise

Tuesday, 7 February 2017

8.2.17 Update




I like the Catterick run of this horse. If he turns up in that mood he simply must be ptretty close in this field and the ground should not be a worry.




I just think this is the best horse in this race and if he retains anything of his ability he will win this race.

Today I am going to try something a little different on the blog. I am not sure completely if it will work out, but we can give it a go. I will trial this for the all weather.
I will attempt to update a few minutes before each race what I will be backing. It is very unlikely I will be betting in every race. I certainly will not be backing in odds on races. Again this is trial and error it will be last minute stuff, rush rush. So no big write ups just the name of the horse and the bet  which will look like this;

C 14.00 Captain K win (Example only).    Now this would mean Chelmsford/time/horse.  It is up to the individual if you take the price offered. I would suggest trying to get slightly bigger in play. 25% bigger than the price offered may be an option I will leave this up to you. Also if you wish to lay off in running, again this is your option I will not insult anyone.       Me personally I will layoff in running for at least my stake, that is also true on my place bets as well which we will likely strike today as well.
This is a trial, if you are going to follow this and bet with hard cash I suggest you use caution and sensible paper trade size wagers.

Also this may mean today some people miss the bets as this will really be last minute stuff. I will endeavour to get any wagers I have up here as early as I can. I will start a new page the Live page, that is where the information will go.

Monday, 6 February 2017

7.2.17 UPDATE

Market Rasen.



The selection, I have a negative tick on this trainer at this track, this does concern me. This is the only negative I can find so I will put this up as a selection. I consider the track form of the selection superior to any else here.

The main danger is Alan Kings horse, Bastien. I have looked at both his Plumpton and Fontwell victories, he must be respected and he will come here with a good following. I think we can beat this one, it is tight and we do not have much if anything on this horse, I do think we have a class barrier advantage with the parameter I adopt.

Next on the list is Any Drama. This is capable of winning but I think this needs to run above anything I have seen on the track in public. The same applies to Bally Gilbert, you could not back this horse on public form.

The only other horse that needs a mention here is Coole Cody he finished only 3 lengths behind the mighty Neon Wolf in January, I would not be surprised to see money coming for this horse, I think he needs to find something on the selection.



This to me is a genuine good favoutire. This ticks all the boxes I will along with a few others be shocked if this loses. I will bet this, If I can get 7/4 I would be delighted. That may mean backing this in play.


As expected the Fave should win this race. No point even talking about it really. The world and his dog know about it.




I will not chortle on here Matrows Lady. Obvious form choice nothing clever here.




The reasoning for putting this up is I think this looks better than the morning favourite also the 3rd fave has done nothing. This in my eyes gives us a strong chance of winning a soft race.


Bastien is hotly fancied in the 14.50, a few of the big boy's have tipped this horse up. This is to be expected with his wins in the book and the horse he beat at Plumpton is well thought of by Moore and Co.
 Any Drama travelled very strongly and I feel the Back to Lays boys may be driving this price down I think this may trade low in play. The opportunity here may be if you are feeling bold to go 5+ on Anchor man. Remember how strongly I feel about drifters, if Anchor Man drifts strongly ditch him, lets beat the big boy tipsters who charge far too much!!!

My first selection on the AW lets hope we can kick off with a good run. I am quite keen on this ones chances I hope we are not let down here.

The other 2 are short so really they can only really let us down as you would expect these to win well.

Sunday, 5 February 2017


The Sedgefield card really is poor. I was looking @ Chestnut Ben in the last race. The problem here is the horse looks like and also has been performing like a horse that really is in serious decline.
He should win this race but I am unwilling to put this one up as he looks like he is just as likely to finish down the field.

I will look again tomorrow, and look over the All weather card. If something looks good I will put out an update around midday.

Good Luck.


The going allowances I use are Timeform's going's as a few people stated different ground to mine. This just avoids confusion. Going will always be a subjective issue. I will always use the Timeform going discription, these can also obviously be subject to change very quickly in adverse conditions.




Contre Tous will be the horse to beat here, if he jumps these fences and handles this ground then he will be very hard to beat. The problem we have here is the Exeter run was average and if the selection runs his race this horse will need to do what I have written above and actually maybe a little more.
Big Windmill in my opinion is not as good as the selection on abilty or class, on what has so far been displayed in public, for this reason I am happy to take this one on, the trainer and jockey are proven good performers and I think this is the reason this horse is as short as it is. He has a chance.
Wade Harper is 0-3 on Soft ground so this is a question mark and a quite a significant negative. This though is the only queston mark I can find on the horse and the reason I am selecting him is @ Haydock in heavy ground rolling back time, November 2015 over fixed brush hurdles WH was in the process of running a really nice race when he basically just ploughed through one of the obstacles. Any kind of effort here remotely like that will put this horse in the firing line. We need to take that chance. This would be a sweet win if we can pull it off.



This is a nasty Handicap Hurdle. I am not going to spend very long going into details here as it is very open. Small stakes is all that I would advise. This selection is the sort of horse I could envisage Pipe running @ the festival in a 30 runner handicap off a feather weight with a 7lb claimer on board. This really was the only reason I have put him up, obviously I liked the Kempton run as well.
In all honesty he is priced as he should be, I am also not that keen on this favourite. Sensible stakes.




I will not waffle on here about this horses chances, the price reflects his chance his Newbury run sets a standard here. No negatives.



This is another horse running here that with Ami Debois being a Non Runner he should really dominate these runners and quite honestly just be too good here. This again is a short price so nothing clever here, and if they are beaten I end up looking foolish.




I think we need to look at the specialist trainers here and your eyes fall on Peter Maher and Enda Bolger.
Then my eyes were immediately drawn towards a horse that I must admit that I have lost money on previously Colour Squadron.
This horse must go close in this today and he looks like he has been targeted at this race and is a better quality of horse than Ballybroker Bridge.  He can beat this on my ratings.

I hope for everyones sake that First Lieutenant is, as well documented in decline or else I can stop typing.

Usuel Smurfer has a bit of class and he could figure and has the advantage of being a little younger than the selection he could figure with a clean round.
 Auvergant let himself down last week with a scruffy jump that left the jockey a hard job of staying on. This has to be dangerous with better jumping.


The horse I really want to win today is Wade Harper this will give me the most pleasure as it is not obvious.

Dell Arca is a punt I do not hold this high on my list today.

The short priced horses are not much value and are expected to win, these will be disappointing if they cannot do whats required today.

Colour Squadron would be a good winner for us. I just have a slight doubt with him I cannot quite put my finger on it, it is likely that he has let me down before and really that was when he was set an easier task than today.

Friday, 3 February 2017

4.2.14 UPDATE



This is a straight match between Couer De Lion & Rather Be. If I had to choose I would go with Rather Be.
However I would want to see confidence in the market and I would also need to be offered at least 2/1+
That would leave me having to bet the horse in play. This may be an option in the race.
Couer was a disappointment here last time, that does not instil confidence. I would be wary taking short odds on this one. He is though clearly better than that display, that leaves a big doubt.
 As it stands the best book on odds checker is 114% when we consider this is a basic match I see no real value at the odds. Maybe if they both ease a little we could take another look at this but that seems unlikely.



A really nice novice chase here I think we will see these horses again @ the Festival but they may well be down the field.  Top Notch won @ Ascot but we cannot gain any worth from the effort as we could not see a thing. All I will do here is use the proximity of other horses gauged on ability. I think he needs to find a bit on the selection. La Prezien is more dangerous I liked his win @ Exeter this must be shortlisted and has win credentials.  Clan Des Obeaux blew his chance @ the 2nd last fence @ Cheltenham. What really convinced me this horse is really genuine is what happened after that error, the horse just rolled up his sleeves and came back. He could not make up the ground lost but he looked pretty good in his attempt. I think this horse warrants a good bet in this race.

I will leave the rest of Sandown as it looks a wee bit tough.

I spent ages going through Wetherby I could not find a thing here.




Every winner of the last 5 years of this race has lined up in the Triump Hurdle.In fact 6 of the last 7 have managed to line up. None of them have actually won the race. They have though managed 3rd place on a couple of occasions. Project Bluebook has to beat 2 well respected big yards here. I think he will do just that. The manner of his last win here was nothing but exceptional for Musselburghs standards, this is no disrespect to Musselburgh. Hendersons horse will need to be very good first time over hurdles to beat the selection here. Maybe he is good enough, he was a very good flat horse, we know he will be very well schooled and certainly fit to run. If this were a different track today he may well have been enough to scare me off but I will take this on.  So we now come to Fidux, I have a bit of a problem with this horse. The Catterick run put simply is not good enough. We then have his Kempton run, well that was much better I still feel it is a little under the selections efforts. The thing is the horse is 2/2 so he is obviously very dangerous, winners win again, also they say never stop backing a horse until it loses. I hope it is today.




I am going against a very strong trend here, Willie Mullins has won this race for the last 5 years and he has 2 really well fancied horses in here. I personally cannot bet Pravalaguna, she has not done enough so you are backing what she likely is? Can she win, of course Mullins is a genius and he wins with these sorts all the time. I use form based methods so She is well below the selection on racecourse figures.
This leaves me with Asthuria to beat I have mine a little in front of her.
Maybe I am being foolish here taking on double handed Mullins in a race he farms.

Thursday, 2 February 2017

3.2.17 UPDATE

Update. 10.20am.


GOING: Soft, Good to Soft in places
RAILS: Rail dolled out increasing distances as follows:
Races 1 & 3 +27 yards
Races 2 & 7 +48 yards
Races 4, 5 & 6 +54 yards



I am rather confident here that we have quite a nice bet here in Walsingham Grange. Let's not get carried away here this is low grade fare and sometimes in these races the form can be unstable.
We have the beating of Allfredandnobell. We are left on paper with horses that need to beat us.



I had this race between the selection and Actinpieces.  Nico De Boinville returns to the saddle today after a spell on the sidelines, and this looks a nice ride back. I do very much respect this danger though Actinpieces and this will be the last horse I want to see close up near the winning post. Money has come for the selection here and it now looks quite poor value in all honesty it looks as though a good run is expected.



She ran a belter @ Wincanton. I fancy her to run a very sound race tomorrow in another low grade affair.
She does obviously have to take on the boy's, this is a slight disadvantage but in this ground nothing will happen to quickly or be to rough.



We have to take fitness here on trust, so that is a question mark. That just takes this off a really good bet.
I am also worried on ground I am unsure, 2 question marks and I usually move on. These are are the negatives, the positives outweigh them for me as he looks to classy for these. The bookies are taking no chances with him and he looks poor value at the moment. Surely he should be 2/1?

Update. I feel the best bet would be Walsingham Grange today. Black Narcissus should really give a good account of herself but there are a couple in here that may trouble her. I hope she can do it.
Treaty Girl. Has this been laid on for a Nico celebration, I do find it odd that he would return to Catterick of all places to have his return ride, after all he has only ridden 2 chases here ever.
Bell Weir with 2 negative ticks is a niggling doubt. I do think this horse should out class these but my head is doubting him. I hope we get a good run from them all and they all return safe and sound. GOOD LUCK.

Wednesday, 1 February 2017

2.2.17 UPDATE.



The going is HEAVY and there is some standing water on the course.

It could be the mudlarks day again today, the slow strong gallopers. If there is still standing water at racetime this will make it even tougher.
Race distances have been changed. Races 1 & 7 are +32yards, race 2 +24 yards, Races 3, 4 & 6 +48 yards and race 5 +36 yards.



This race was easy for me to assess. Azzuri sets the standard here, he has to be beaten, or come here not right to not put up a bold show. We will stick to the rules of the market. If this gives out a negative market signal dump it.



This is a fascinating race for me. I approach these races looking for horses that I can find doubts as to why they may not give their best. The 2 that I will get rid of are Casse Tete and Baby King.
Casse Tete on this ground I feel will be found out, if it was G/s I would be seriously looking @ this horse, it is heavy he goes.
Baby King 8 years old going chasing? I fell for this earlier in the week at Plumpton, No No No!! he goes.
If he was good at chasing he would have done it earlier, get rid!!!

Now it gets much harder and all 3 here have good win credentials. Theatre Flame. The trainer is just not firing also this horse has no heavy ground form. The trainer is 0-11 chasing here. he goes.
Now it is very tough Tizzard is a master trainer no doubting, and places his horses to win. I will always favour heavier weighted horses when it gets tight, and here is no exception, this is my opinion and I always try and stick to this unless I can see a favourable advantage on the lighter weighted horse.

Astre D L C. This horse has a good heavy ground win @ Ascot and the trainers horses are going well at present.
 Robert Walford trains under 30 horses, this means he can focus on what needs to be where. My hope is he has really placed this horse well today, as long as this does not drift in the betting market I will have a good bet on this horse tomorrow in a race where in all honesty we cannot discount any of the 5. This will make the win all the sweeter.


The going is Heavy. 
Rail movements;
Race 2: +65 yards
Race 5: +30 yards 



This is a 100% book on best odds currently. That is pretty rare. I will not spend too long on this I think Eaton Rock will win this race. If you fancy it back it @ 2.5 Bog with Will Hill.  I would rather wait and see what happens in the market/


The going here is now heavy.
Clerk of the course Lorcan Wyer told ATR: "It's heavy and going to ride quite testing. It's a very strong wind in the back straight."

This tells us it will not be for the faint hearted here today.



No surprise here, no point chirping on too long about this horses chances it is pretty obvious.



I like this ones chances here today, I just think he looks better than these. This is high on my list of good bets today. The big question mark and very off putting is the stable form.
On this occasion I am going to overlook that question mark as I feel this horse can outclass these today.